![]() All of them were also behind James in this stat. So how in the world could a player like James have a better CPOE than players like Pickett, Williams, Goedert and Kupp - not to mention Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins of the Cincinnati Bengals, DeVonta Smith of the Eagles and Stephon Diggs of the Buffalo Bills. That’s a catch rate befitting a running back snagging swing passes, not a receiver running through a defense. And of his 70 targets, only 13 resulted in incompletions. He helped quarterbacks targeting him post a 119.6 passer rating, the third-best mark of any pass catcher on this list. So why does James land here? His catch rate over expected was better than that of any other receiver who met the aforementioned criteria. Last season was the first in which James reached any of the benchmarks needed to qualify for this list, and it was only the second campaign in which he saw more than 14 targets. James was among those who benefitted the most, setting career-high marks in receptions (57), receiving yards (569) and receiving touchdowns (four). His placement here fits the narrative that the Giants built in 2022, when they exceeded expectations by a significant margin. ![]() In a league filled with superstars at the receiver position, James is likely among the last players anyone would expect to land atop a receiving ranking. Wide receivers who made Snook’s top-10 CROE list include familiar names like George Pickens of the Pittsburgh Steelers, Mike Williams of the Los Angeles Chargers, Dallas Goedert of the Philadelphia Eagles and Cooper Kupp of the Los Angeles Rams.īut the player at the top is one you might not have heard until this offseason: Richie James of the Kansas City Chiefs. Expressed as a percentage, a positive number is good, while a negative number is bad. The difference between that figure (which NGS calls xCatch) and the receiver's completion percentage is that player’s CROE. So for each individual target for every receiver, NGS calculates the probability a pass will be caught. ![]() These are the ones who you can count on to make the tough grabs. The players who qualify for this list and boast higher CROEs have consistently made difficult, unlikely catches more often than the rest. measures the difficulty of completion using a number of factors, including separation from nearest defender, depth of target and speed. On Monday, NFL.com’s Nick Snook published an article highlighting the Next Gen Stats CROE (Catch Rate Over Expectation) metric - which he explained like this: ![]()
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